Humint Events Online: Updated 9/11 Odds

Sunday, February 24, 2008

Updated 9/11 Odds

Very little in this world is certain, and therefore it is difficult to be absolutely certain of many aspects of 9/11. Moreover, my ideas for what happened on 9/11 have evolved, as I take in new evidence and new ideas and analyze new evidence. The following are how I rate various aspects of 9/11, in terms of probability (I define "Beyond any reasonable doubt" as odds of 10,000 to 1 or higher):

1) Some officials in the US government had specific foreknowledge of the 9/11 attacks: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"

2) Some officials in the US government aided the hijackers at various points before 9/11: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"

3) Some officials in the US government had a direct hand in carrying out the attacks: 1,000 to 1

4) Flight 77 did not crash into the Pentagon: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"

5) No aircraft hit the Pentagon at all: 10 to 1

6) Pre-planted explosives destroyed the WTC (1, 2, 7) towers: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"

7) Nuclear weapons were involved in the destruction of the WTC (1, 2, 7) towers: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"

8) no plane crashed at all in Shanksville and the crash site was a complete hoax: 1,000 to 1

9) UA93 did not crash in Shanksville: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"

10) flight 11 did not hit WTC1: 1,000 to 1

11) flight 175 did not hit WTC2: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"

12) at least some videos and photos of the second hit were faked: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"

13) Bush had some specific foreknowledge about what was going to happen on 9/11: 10 to 1

14) The air defense (NORAD) response to the hijackings was distracted and/or disabled by wargames being run on 9/11: 1 to 1 (lack of real hijacked planes would have been more of a factor)

15) The four 9/11 "crashes" did not involve any conventional planes (planes were used indirectly as decoys): 10,000 to 1

16) There is a cover-up/disinfo campaign about 9/11 being maintained by the government: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"

17) There is a cover-up about 9/11 being maintained at high levels by the media: "Beyond any reasonable doubt"


Interestingly, I have clearly firmed up on many of these key points in the last 8 months-- going to "Beyond any reasonable doubt" in many places.

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